PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubMallorca
Shots18 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match▲6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Mallorca10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubMallorcaBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against8.75 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Mallorca.

6.9 days▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Mallorca7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthletic ClubMallorcaBaseline
Rest days6.9 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 1 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/80.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/810.3 shots/match
8.75 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 8/814.6 shots/match
4.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/83.88 shots/match
3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/84.88 shots/match
53.5%Possessionseason · 8/843.6%
6.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.88 corners/match
3.88 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/86.13 corners/match
1.63 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.63 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/812.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club72.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club58.3
Mallorca35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club76.7
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club67.5
Mallorca47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club41.2
Mallorca63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club87.5
Mallorca35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club71.2
Mallorca40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
58.2%Possession5/545.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots8/810.3 shots/match
4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.88 shots/match
53.5%Possession8/843.6%
6.88 corners/matchCorners8/83.88 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/82.63 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots8/810.3 shots/match
4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.88 shots/match
53.5%Possession8/843.6%
6.88 corners/matchCorners8/83.88 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/82.63 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/411.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲5 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/447%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/44.5 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/42.5 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAthletic ClubMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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