Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal — La Liga 2025/26 Match Stats

La Liga · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCEstadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid

WWWWL

3–1Historical match

Villarreal

DLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 3–1.

Shots: 269
Shots on target: 72
Expected goals: 3.521
Possession: 70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Villarreal 3–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Villarreal): shots 26–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 3.52–1, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal have a visible away split

weak

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.25 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Villarreal15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	18.6 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	11.3 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

Shots26 shots9 shotsReal Madrid 26 shots, Villarreal 9 shots
Shots on target7 shots2 shotsReal Madrid 7 shots, Villarreal 2 shots
Expected goals3.52 xG1 xGReal Madrid 3.52 xG, Villarreal 1 xG
Possession70%30%Real Madrid 70%, Villarreal 30%
Corners4 corners0 cornersReal Madrid 4 corners, Villarreal 0 corners
Fouls9 fouls14 foulsReal Madrid 9 fouls, Villarreal 14 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsReal Madrid 2 cards, Villarreal 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Madrid: 26 shots, 7 on target, 3.57 xG. Villarreal: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 3.57 xG · Villarreal 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Madrid

1Draws

1Villarreal

15 Mar 2025Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

5 Oct 2024Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga2–0

19 May 2024Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga4–4

17 Dec 2023Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga4–1

8 Apr 2023Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid8 matchesVillarreal8 matches

2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.75 goals/match

1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match

2.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.71 xG/match

18.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/815.1 shots/match

6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/85.13 shots/match

62.3% ●Possession8/846%

5.25 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match

1.88 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/811.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance