Kairat Almaty 0–5 Real Madrid — UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Match Stats

UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 16:45 UTCCentral Stadium

Kairat Almaty

WLDDL

0–5Historical match

Real Madrid

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 0–5.

Shots: 1120
Shots on target: 412
Expected goals: 0.433.54
Possession: 33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Kairat Almaty 5–0. Recorded in this match (Kairat Almaty – Real Madrid): shots 11–20, shots on target 4–12, expected goals 0.43–3.54, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kairat Almaty's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kairat Almaty's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.8 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

Shots11 shots20 shotsKairat Almaty 11 shots, Real Madrid 20 shots
Shots on target4 shots12 shotsKairat Almaty 4 shots, Real Madrid 12 shots
Expected goals0.43 xG3.54 xGKairat Almaty 0.43 xG, Real Madrid 3.54 xG
Possession33%67%Kairat Almaty 33%, Real Madrid 67%
Corners3 corners6 cornersKairat Almaty 3 corners, Real Madrid 6 corners
Fouls6 fouls9 foulsKairat Almaty 6 fouls, Real Madrid 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Kairat Almaty: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.44 xG. Real Madrid: 20 shots, 12 on target, 3.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kairat Almaty 0.44 xG · Real Madrid 3.53 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

11.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples10 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4