UEFA Champions League · 2025Thu, 18 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeJosé AlvaladeFull-time recap
41Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSportingKairat Almaty
Shots21 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals4.25 xG/match0.7 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jorginho · Kairat Almaty · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOfri Arad · Kairat Almaty · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeovany Quenda · Sporting · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 44′ · 0.03 xG · goalZeno Debast · Sporting · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeovany Quenda · Sporting · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Mrynskiy · Kairat Almaty · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Kochorashvili · Sporting · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Mrynskiy · Kairat Almaty · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeovany Quenda · Sporting · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 65′ · 0.10 xG · goalAlisson Santos · Sporting · 67′ · 0.10 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 48′ · 0.11 xG · on targetEdmilson · Kairat Almaty · 86′ · 0.11 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 14′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Inácio · Sporting · 15′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDastan Satpaev · Kairat Almaty · 47′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGeovany Quenda · Sporting · 68′ · 0.18 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 40′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting · 5′ · 0.48 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 80′ · 0.79 xG · off target or blockedMorten Hjulmand · Sporting · 21′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting: 21 shots, 8 on target, 3.81 xG. Kairat Almaty: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Francisco Trincão · Sporting · 44′Francisco Trincão · Sporting · 65′Alisson Santos · Sporting · 67′Geovany Quenda · Sporting · 68′Edmilson · Kairat Almaty · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting 3.81 xG · Kairat Almaty 0.64 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 18 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4