PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeEstadi Mallorca Son MoixFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Alaves

LDWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaAlaves
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession39%61%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca, Alaves. A second useful context is: Mallorca's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca, Alaves.

2.88 days▲Rest daysMallorca · Alaves2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMallorcaAlavesBaseline
Rest days2.88 days2.98 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mallorca have a visible home split

weak

Mallorca's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 4 · 7 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/70.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/79.29 shots/match
14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲11.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/73.57 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/7▲3.43 shots/match
43%Possessionseason · 7/751.1%
4.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75.43 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4 corners/match
2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 7/72.29 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/717.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca27.5
Alaves52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca40
Alaves30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca26.7
Alaves66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca62.5
Alaves12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca50
Alaves78.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca37.5
Alaves60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca46.2
Alaves55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots5/57.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/549%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/517.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shots7/79.29 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.57 shots/match
43%Possession7/751.1%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.43 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/717.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.9 shots/match▲Shots7/79.29 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.57 shots/match
43%Possession7/751.1%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.43 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/717.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots4/49.25 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲3.5 shots/match
40.3%Possession4/452%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/45.75 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/43.25 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls4/419 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.98 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaAlaves
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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