La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 1–2 Real Oviedo · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Oviedo won 1–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.510.77
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oviedo beat Valencia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Oviedo): shots 16–10, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.51–0.77, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia have a visible home split

weak

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match9.29 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.29 shots/match ▲ShotsValencia · Oviedo7.57 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaOviedoBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match7.57 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match18.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsValencia 16 shots, Real Oviedo 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsValencia 5 shots, Real Oviedo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.77 xGValencia 1.51 xG, Real Oviedo 0.77 xG
  • Possession57%43%Valencia 57%, Real Oviedo 43%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersValencia 5 corners, Real Oviedo 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsValencia 14 fouls, Real Oviedo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsValencia 1 card, Real Oviedo 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Baptiste Santamaria · Valencia · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeander Dendoncker · Oviedo · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBaptiste Santamaria · Valencia · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLucas Ahijado · Oviedo · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosip Brekalo · Oviedo · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHaissem Hassan · Oviedo · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Colombatto · Oviedo · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaissem Hassan · Oviedo · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Colombatto · Oviedo · 44′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 10′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 4′ · 0.11 xG · goalLuka Ilić · Oviedo · 85′ · 0.21 xG · goalSalomón Rondón · Oviedo · 86′ · 0.24 xG · goalArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 76′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG. Oviedo: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Arnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 4′Luka Ilić · Oviedo · 85′Salomón Rondón · Oviedo · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.55 xG · Oviedo 0.83 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia7 matchesReal Oviedo7 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.75 xG/match
9.29 shots/match ▲Shots7/77.57 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/72.86 shots/match
46.9% ●Possession7/737.9%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners7/72.71 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards7/73 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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