Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 16 May 2026, 13:30 UTCEuropa-Park-Stadion

SC Freiburg

WWLDL

4–1Historical match

RB Leipzig

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 4–1.

Shots: 1114
Shots on target: 56
Expected goals: 1.411.24
Possession: 41%59%

This match

Match statistics

Shots11 shots14 shotsSC Freiburg 11 shots, RB Leipzig 14 shots
Shots on target5 shots6 shotsSC Freiburg 5 shots, RB Leipzig 6 shots
Expected goals1.41 xG1.24 xGSC Freiburg 1.41 xG, RB Leipzig 1.24 xG
Possession41%59%SC Freiburg 41%, RB Leipzig 59%
Corners1 corner2 cornersSC Freiburg 1 corner, RB Leipzig 2 corners
Fouls13 fouls7 foulsSC Freiburg 13 fouls, RB Leipzig 7 fouls
Yellow cards0 cards1 cardSC Freiburg 0 cards, RB Leipzig 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

SC Freiburg: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG. RB Leipzig: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.53 xG · RB Leipzig 1.15 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat RB Leipzig 4–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – RB Leipzig): shots 11–14, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.41–1.24, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	12.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · RB Leipzig15.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	SC Freiburg	RB Leipzig	Baseline
Shots	12.2 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	13.8 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SC Freiburg

1Draws

4RB Leipzig

14 Jan 2026RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–0

8 Mar 2025SC Freiburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–0

26 Oct 2024RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–1

6 Apr 2024SC Freiburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–4

12 Nov 2023RB Leipzig — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg34 matchesRB Leipzig34 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.94 goals/match

1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.38 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.95 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 15.8 shots/match

4.21 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 6 shots/match

48%Possession34/34● 53.9%

4.12 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.29 corners/match

1.72 cards/matchCards25/251.44 cards/match

9.32 fouls/matchFouls34/349.26 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Freiburg52.8

RB Leipzig69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Freiburg44.4

RB Leipzig84.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Freiburg50.9

RB Leipzig85.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Freiburg30.6

RB Leipzig86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg25.0

RB Leipzig11.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 87%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg13.9

RB Leipzig69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Freiburg28.5

RB Leipzig66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4