PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFSV Mainz 05
Shots14 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.3 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · FSV Mainz 0511.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · FSV Mainz 05 in 1 · 4 too close

2.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1011.8 shots/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1014.3 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/102.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/104.9 shots/match
56.3%Possessionseason · 10/1049.4%
4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105 corners/match
2.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/103.7 corners/match
1.8 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 10/102.9 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1013.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/100%
90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1050%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt77.8
FSV Mainz 0547.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt69.4
FSV Mainz 0514.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt55.6
FSV Mainz 0543.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt19.4
FSV Mainz 0525
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt26.4
FSV Mainz 0583.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt52.8
FSV Mainz 0558.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt51.4
FSV Mainz 0539.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
53.6%Possession5/547.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.8 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
56.3%Possession10/1049.4%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.9 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.8 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
56.3%Possession10/1049.4%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.9 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
55.6%Possession5/549.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtFSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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