PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 1–0.

Shots
143
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.210.16
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat FSV Mainz 05 1–0. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – FSV Mainz 05): shots 14–3, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.21–0.16, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.3 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FSV Mainz 05 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FSV Mainz 05's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · FSV Mainz 0511.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtFSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots3 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 14 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 4 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.16 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.21 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.16 xG
  • Possession56%44%Eintracht Frankfurt 56%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 44%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 4 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 8 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards5 cardsEintracht Frankfurt 0 cards, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · Eintracht Frankfurt · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · Eintracht Frankfurt · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJean-Mattéo Bahoya · Eintracht Frankfurt · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaul Nebel · FSV Mainz 05 · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSota Kawasaki · FSV Mainz 05 · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJean-Mattéo Bahoya · Eintracht Frankfurt · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 54′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · Eintracht Frankfurt · 80′ · 0.16 xG · goalElye Wahi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 86′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.22 xG. FSV Mainz 05: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ritsu Doan · Eintracht Frankfurt · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.22 xG · FSV Mainz 05 0.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
2Draws
11. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt10 matches1. FSV Mainz 0510 matches
2.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.27 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.8 shots/match
4.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession10/1049.4%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.9 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht Frankfurt1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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