Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 19:00 UTCStade Jean Bouin

Paris FC

WWLWL

2–1Historical match

Paris Saint-Germain

WWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC won 2–1.

Shots: 179
Shots on target: 92
Expected goals: 2.20.61
Possession: 37%63%

This match

Match statistics

Shots17 shots9 shotsParis FC 17 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
Shots on target9 shots2 shotsParis FC 9 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 2 shots
Expected goals2.2 xG0.61 xGParis FC 2.2 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 0.61 xG
Possession37%63%Paris FC 37%, Paris Saint-Germain 63%
Corners3 corners3 cornersParis FC 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 3 corners
Fouls8 fouls9 foulsParis FC 8 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 9 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsParis FC 2 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Paris FC: 17 shots, 9 on target, 2.09 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 2.09 xG · Paris Saint Germain 0.62 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC beat Paris Saint Germain 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paris FC – Paris Saint Germain): shots 17–9, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.2–0.61, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsParis FC · Paris Saint Germain17.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Paris FC	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	17.7 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	12.4 shots/match	8.79 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint Germain.

7 days ▲Rest daysParis FC · Paris Saint Germain4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Paris FC	Paris Saint Germain	Baseline
Rest days	7 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 match	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Paris FC

0Draws

1Paris Saint-Germain

12 Jan 2026Paris Saint-Germain — Paris FC · Coupe de France0–1

4 Jan 2026Paris Saint-Germain — Paris FC · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC34 matchesParis Saint-Germain34 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 2.18 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 0.85 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 2.05 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 17.7 shots/match

3.97 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 6.65 shots/match

50.4%Possession34/34● 68.8%

4.38 corners/matchCorners34/34● 6.35 corners/match

2.44 cards/matchCards27/271.07 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls34/349.18 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Paris FC52.8

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Paris FC47.2

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Paris FC50.9

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Paris FC25.0

Paris Saint-Germain63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Paris FC50.0

Paris Saint-Germain2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Paris FC41.7

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Paris FC38.9

Paris Saint-Germain73.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

1 matchMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4