Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 19:00 UTCStade du Moustoir

Lorient

LWLDW

0–2Historical match

Le Havre

DDDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 0–2.

Shots: 127
Shots on target: 24
Expected goals: 1.31.25
Possession: 60%40%

This match

Match statistics

Shots12 shots7 shotsLorient 12 shots, Le Havre 7 shots
Shots on target2 shots4 shotsLorient 2 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
Expected goals1.3 xG1.25 xGLorient 1.3 xG, Le Havre 1.25 xG
Possession60%40%Lorient 60%, Le Havre 40%
Corners5 corners1 cornerLorient 5 corners, Le Havre 1 corner
Fouls11 fouls11 foulsLorient 11 fouls, Le Havre 11 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards1 cardLorient 2 cards, Le Havre 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lorient: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.40 xG. Le Havre: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 1.40 xG · Le Havre 1.59 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Lorient 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Le Havre): shots 12–7, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.3–1.25, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.94 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lorient

2Draws

1Le Havre

21 Sept 2025Le Havre — Lorient · Ligue 11–1

28 Jan 2024Lorient — Le Havre · Ligue 13–3

3 Sept 2023Le Havre — Lorient · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient34 matchesLe Havre34 matches

1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.94 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.29 goals/match

1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.12 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots34/3410.9 shots/match

3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.65 shots/match

45.3%Possession34/34● 46.8%

3.5 corners/matchCorners34/34● 4.26 corners/match

1.76 cards/matchCards25/282 cards/match

9.59 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.7 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lorient30.6

Le Havre41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lorient40.7

Le Havre22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lorient63.0

Le Havre55.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lorient58.3

Le Havre36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lorient11.1

Le Havre59.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 87%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lorient2.8

Le Havre36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lorient21.5

Le Havre43.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Rest before fixture · Both teams: 7 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4