PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Meinau

RC Strasbourg 3–1 Nice · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

Nice

DLLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 3–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.260.32
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Strasbourg beat Nice 3–1. Recorded in this match (Strasbourg – Nice): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.26–0.32, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsRC Strasbourg 16 shots, Nice 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsRC Strasbourg 6 shots, Nice 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG0.32 xGRC Strasbourg 2.26 xG, Nice 0.32 xG
  • Possession59%41%RC Strasbourg 59%, Nice 41%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersRC Strasbourg 4 corners, Nice 10 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsRC Strasbourg 7 fouls, Nice 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardRC Strasbourg 0 cards, Nice 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Guéla Doué · Strasbourg · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Louchet · Nice · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 82′ · 0.02 xG · goalAli Abdi · Nice · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamir El Mourabet · Strasbourg · 42′ · 0.03 xG · goalMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Nice · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGessime Yassine · Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGessime Yassine · Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 25′ · 0.15 xG · on targetGessime Yassine · Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 28′ · 0.33 xG · goalMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 24′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 36′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.29 xG. Nice: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Martial Godo · Strasbourg · 28′Julio Enciso · Strasbourg · 36′Samir El Mourabet · Strasbourg · 42′Antoine Mendy · Nice · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 2.29 xG · Nice 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RC Strasbourg
2Draws
3Nice
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–2
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg28 matchesNice28 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.18 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.96 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.27 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots28/2811.3 shots/match
4.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.07 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession28/2847%
4.18 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.21 corners/match
2.16 cards/matchCards25/262.27 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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