PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 1–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1

Nice

LLWLL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice and Le Havre drew 1–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.111.76
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice and Le Havre drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – Le Havre): shots 15–11, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.11–1.76, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsNice 15 shots, Le Havre 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsNice 5 shots, Le Havre 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.76 xGNice 2.11 xG, Le Havre 1.76 xG
  • Possession46%54%Nice 46%, Le Havre 54%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersNice 5 corners, Le Havre 2 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls14 foulsNice 20 fouls, Le Havre 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardNice 1 card, Le Havre 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ally Samatta · Le Havre · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Gourna-Douath · Le Havre · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsak Jansson · Nice · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Nice · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetElye Wahi · Nice · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharles Vanhoutte · Nice · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Nice · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 78′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 41′ · 0.18 xG · goalAli Abdi · Nice · 37′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 16′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 14′ · 0.28 xG · on targetFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 14′ · 0.33 xG · on targetFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 14′ · 0.40 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 20′ · 0.50 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 59′ · 0.55 xG · on targetAli Abdi · Nice · 59′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.48 xG. Le Havre: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ali Abdi · Nice · 59′Ally Samatta · Le Havre · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 2.48 xG · Le Havre 2.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Nice
0Draws
2Le Havre
Le Havre — Nice · Ligue 13–1
Le Havre — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1
Nice — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Nice · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice29 matchesLe Havre29 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.83 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.11 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots29/2911.1 shots/match
4.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.55 shots/match
47%Possession29/29● 47.1%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners29/294.38 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards26/271.93 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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