PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille 0–0 Nice · Ligue 1

Lille

DWWWW
0–0Historical match

Nice

LWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille and Nice drew 0–0.

Shots
95
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.540.19
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille and Nice drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Lille – Nice): shots 9–5, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.54–0.19, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Nice11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleNiceBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.7 corners/match ●CornersLille · Nice5.13 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLilleNiceBaseline
Corners5.7 corners/match5.13 corners/match4.61 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots5 shotsLille 9 shots, Nice 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotLille 2 shots, Nice 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.54 xG0.19 xGLille 0.54 xG, Nice 0.19 xG
  • Possession62%38%Lille 62%, Nice 38%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersLille 5 corners, Nice 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsLille 9 fouls, Nice 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardLille 2 cards, Nice 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aïssa Mandi · Lille · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyyoub Bouaddi · Lille · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Lille · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSalis Abdul Samed · Nice · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChancel Mbemba · Lille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Nice · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Nice · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChancel Mbemba · Lille · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Ndombélé · Nice · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Lille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 38′ · 0.11 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG. Nice: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 0.43 xG · Nice 0.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lille
3Draws
1Nice
Nice — Lille · Ligue 12–0
Lille — Nice · Ligue 12–1
Nice — Lille · Ligue 12–2
Lille — Nice · Ligue 12–2
Nice — Lille · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille30 matchesNice30 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.13 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.87 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.26 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession30/3046.7%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners30/305.13 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards26/262.27 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleNice
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLille — Nice
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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