Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Francis-Le Blé

Stade Brestois 3–4 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 3–4.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.222.89
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes beat Stade Brestois 29 4–3. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois 29 – Rennes): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.22–2.89, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.68 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rennes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois 29 · Rennes13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade Brestois 29RennesBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsStade Brestois 10 shots, Stade Rennais 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 4 shots, Stade Rennais 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG2.89 xGStade Brestois 1.22 xG, Stade Rennais 2.89 xG
  • Possession40%60%Stade Brestois 40%, Stade Rennais 60%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersStade Brestois 3 corners, Stade Rennais 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsStade Brestois 13 fouls, Stade Rennais 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsStade Brestois 2 cards, Stade Rennais 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Remy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Rennes · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Rennes · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPathé Mboup · Stade Brestois 29 · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois 29 · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Rennes · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · Rennes · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Rennes · 20′ · 0.16 xG · goalJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 57′ · 0.16 xG · goalMahdi Camara · Rennes · 18′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJunior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 4′ · 0.22 xG · goalBreel Embolo · Rennes · 63′ · 0.39 xG · goalRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 70′ · 0.47 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 35′ · 0.82 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois 29: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.17 xG. Rennes: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Junior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 4′Junior Dina Ebimbe · Stade Brestois 29 · 57′Remy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 70′Ludovic Blas · Rennes · 20′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 35′Breel Embolo · Rennes · 63′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 29 1.17 xG · Rennes 2.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Brestois
2Draws
1Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–5
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois28 matchesStade Rennais28 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.52 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.71 shots/match
42.7%Possession28/28● 53.4%
4.11 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards26/251.92 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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