PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Nice

LDLLW
0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–4.

Shots
617
Shots on target
110
Expected goals
0.243.71
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Nice 4–0. Recorded in this match (Nice – Paris Saint Germain): shots 6–17, shots on target 1–10, expected goals 0.24–3.71, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · Paris Saint Germain17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match17.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match8.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.3%PossessionNice · Paris Saint Germain● 68.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNiceParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession47.3%68.8%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nice's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.19 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots17 shotsNice 6 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot10 shotsNice 1 shot, Paris Saint-Germain 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG3.71 xGNice 0.24 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.71 xG
  • Possession26%74%Nice 26%, Paris Saint-Germain 74%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersNice 2 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls5 foulsNice 12 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardNice 0 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilya Zabarnyi · Paris Saint Germain · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDante · Nice · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Nice · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Nice · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMelvin Bard · Nice · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 12′ · 0.12 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.12 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 19′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 49′ · 0.27 xG · goalDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 70′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.40 xG · on targetDro Fernández · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.44 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 37′ · 0.66 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.23 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 17 shots, 10 on target, 3.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Nuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 42′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 49′Dro Fernández · Paris Saint Germain · 81′Warren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 0.23 xG · Paris Saint Germain 3.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
1Draws
2Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Nice — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Nice · Ligue 12–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice27 matchesParis Saint-Germain26 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored27/26▲ 2.23 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed27/26▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals27/26▲ 2.08 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots27/26▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target27/26▲ 6.92 shots/match
47.3%Possession27/26● 68.8%
5.04 corners/matchCorners27/26● 6 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards26/261 card/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls27/269.92 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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