Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStade de la BeaujoireFull-time recap

Nantes

LLWLL

2–3Full-time recap

Strasbourg

DWDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nantes	Strasbourg
Shots	14 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match	9 shots/match
Expected goals	1.67 xG/match	2.15 xG/match▲
Possession	37%	63%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	17 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nantes: 14 shots, 9 on target, 1.67 xG. Strasbourg: 13 shots, 9 on target, 2.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.67 xG · Strasbourg 2.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%▲PossessionNantes · Strasbourg53.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Nantes	Strasbourg	Baseline
Possession	43%	53.3%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Nantes

0Draws

1Strasbourg

24 Aug 2025Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Nantes favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Strasbourg in 9 · 4 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/27▲1.59 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/27▲1.22 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/2—

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/27▲11.3 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/27▲11.5 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/27▲4.59 shots/match

4.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/27▲4.19 shots/match

43%Possessionseason · 26/2753.3%

3.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/274.07 corners/match

5.77 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/27▲4.26 corners/match

2.04 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.16 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2711.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/27▲33%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/27▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nantes13.9

Strasbourg75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nantes12

Strasbourg59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nantes17.6

Strasbourg60.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nantes47.2

Strasbourg8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nantes50

Strasbourg44.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nantes2.8

Strasbourg25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nantes19.4

Strasbourg41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

38.8%Possession5/560%

3 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/31.67 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.2 shots/match

43.9%Possession10/1053.8%

3.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCards9/81.75 cards/match

14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 27 matches

0.92 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲1.59 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed26/27▲1.22 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

10.4 shots/matchShots26/27▲11.3 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲4.59 shots/match

43%Possession26/2753.3%

3.15 corners/matchCorners26/274.07 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCards25/252.16 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2711.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.57 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.71 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match

3.29 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4 shots/match

43.9%Possession14/1454.6%

3.29 corners/matchCorners14/143.36 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards13/132.54 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples26 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4