Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Beaujoire

Nantes 2–3 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nantes

LLWLL
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 2–3.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
99
Expected goals
1.672.12
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Strasbourg beat Nantes 3–2. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Strasbourg): shots 14–13, shots on target 9–9, expected goals 1.67–2.12, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionNantes · Strasbourg● 53.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantesStrasbourgBaseline
Possession43%53.3%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsNantes 14 shots, RC Strasbourg 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots9 shotsNantes 9 shots, RC Strasbourg 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG2.12 xGNantes 1.67 xG, RC Strasbourg 2.12 xG
  • Possession37%63%Nantes 37%, RC Strasbourg 63%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersNantes 3 corners, RC Strasbourg 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsNantes 15 fouls, RC Strasbourg 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsNantes 3 cards, RC Strasbourg 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBahereba Guirassy · Nantes · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIgnatius Ganago · Nantes · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 34′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIgnatius Ganago · Nantes · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 6′ · 0.09 xG · goalGuéla Doué · Strasbourg · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaxi Oyedele · Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalMohamed Kaba · Nantes · 18′ · 0.15 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 78′ · 0.23 xG · goalSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 22′ · 0.44 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.46 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 53′ · 0.48 xG · goalIgnatius Ganago · Nantes · 75′ · 0.51 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 14 shots, 9 on target, 1.67 xG. Strasbourg: 13 shots, 9 on target, 2.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dehmaine Tabibou · Nantes · 6′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 53′Maxi Oyedele · Strasbourg · 45′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 78′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.67 xG · Strasbourg 2.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
0Draws
4RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–0
Nantes — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–1
RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Nantes — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–3
RC Strasbourg — Nantes · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes26 matchesRC Strasbourg27 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed26/27▲ 1.22 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals26/27▲ 1.57 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots26/27▲ 11.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 4.59 shots/match
43%Possession26/27● 53.3%
3.15 corners/matchCorners26/27● 4.19 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards25/252.16 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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