Ligue 1 · 2025Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStade Bollaert-DelelisFull-time recap

Lens

WLDWL
51Full-time recap

Angers

LLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLensAngers
Shots26 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals3.19 xG/match1.5 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yassin Belkhdim · Angers · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaud Abdulhamid · Lens · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 39′ · 0.03 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAllan Saint-Maximin · Lens · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLanroy Machine · Angers · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMalang Sarr · Lens · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Fofana · Lens · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJordan Lefort · Angers · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHaris Belkebla · Angers · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 13′ · 0.11 xG · goalLouis Mouton · Angers · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMalang Sarr · Lens · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNidal Čelik · Lens · 60′ · 0.13 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAmine Sbai · Angers · 27′ · 0.15 xG · on targetOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 43′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMatthieu Udol · Lens · 72′ · 0.16 xG · goalYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 44′ · 0.17 xG · on targetIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 15′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · Lens · 68′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 82′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 48′ · 0.31 xG · goalLanroy Machine · Angers · 62′ · 0.43 xG · goalOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 25′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lens: 26 shots, 9 on target, 3.15 xG. Angers: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Florian Thauvin · Lens · 13′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 25′Mamadou Sangare · Lens · 39′Odsonne Édouard · Lens · 48′Matthieu Udol · Lens · 72′Lanroy Machine · Angers · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lens 3.15 xG · Angers 1.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/matchShotsLens · Angers9.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLensAngersBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match9.48 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Lens
0Draws
0Angers
AngersLens · Ligue 112

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lens favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 1 · 4 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/270.89 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/271.37 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
15.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/279.48 shots/match
11.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/2714 shots/match
5.37 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/273.37 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/275.07 shots/match
50%Possessionseason · 27/2742.9%
5.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/273.59 corners/match
3.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/275.19 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/251.52 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2711 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
37%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2733%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2763%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lens52.8
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lens88
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lens82.4
Angers26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lens97.2
Angers25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lens58.3
Angers11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lens86.1
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lens83.3
Angers12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
22.6 shots/matchShots5/59.2 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
54.4%Possession5/542.8%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
18 shots/matchShots10/109.9 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.1 shots/match
51.3%Possession10/1044.4%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards8/81.75 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored27/270.89 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.37 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
15.5 shots/matchShots27/279.48 shots/match
5.37 shots/matchShots on target27/273.37 shots/match
50%Possession27/2742.9%
5.81 corners/matchCorners27/273.59 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCards25/251.52 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2711 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
2.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.57 goals/match
0.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.57 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
16.4 shots/matchShots14/148.5 shots/match
5.79 shots/matchShots on target14/142.71 shots/match
50.6%Possession14/1440.1%
6.21 corners/matchCorners14/142.79 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards13/131.23 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls14/149.64 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.16 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.07 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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