PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade du MoustoirFull-time recap

Lorient

DWWWL
2–0Full-time recap

Angers

LLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLorientAngers
Shots8 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession59%41%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match0 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ahmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBranco Van den Boomen · Angers · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Camara · Angers · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPablo Pagis · Lorient · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBranco Van den Boomen · Angers · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarim Dermane · Lorient · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 9′ · 0.12 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 15′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 58′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.96 xG. Angers: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pablo Pagis · Lorient · 9′Jean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 0.96 xG · Angers 0.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lorient's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Angers have a visible away split

moderate

Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.82 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.55 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.82 shots/match9.55 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsLorient · Angers9.55 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientAngersBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match9.55 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lorient
0Draws
1Angers
Angers — Lorient · Ligue 12–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lorient favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 3 · 6 too close

1.32 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/221 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲1.23 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/229.55 shots/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2213.8 shots/match
3.77 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/223.55 shots/match
3.91 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/225 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 22/2242.9%
3.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/223.64 corners/match
5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/225.09 corners/match
1.77 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/22▲1.41 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2210.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲36%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2268%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lorient30.6
Angers8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lorient40.7
Angers16.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lorient62.1
Angers38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lorient63.9
Angers25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lorient9.8
Angers11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lorient8.3
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lorient22.2
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/546%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
0.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match
45%Possession10/1047.5%
2.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
0.9 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.32 goals/match▲Goals scored22/221 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲1.23 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.5 shots/match▲Shots22/229.55 shots/match
3.77 shots/match▲Shots on target22/223.55 shots/match
44.6%Possession22/2242.9%
3.23 corners/matchCorners22/223.64 corners/match
1.77 cards/matchCards22/221.41 cards/match
9.95 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.55 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.36 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots11/117.82 shots/match
4.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.45 shots/match
45.7%Possession11/1139.9%
2.82 corners/matchCorners11/112.73 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards11/111.09 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls11/119.18 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.93 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLorientAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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