Ligue 1 · 2025Stade du Moustoir

Lorient 1–0 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

Lorient

DLDDW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lorient won 1–0.

Shots
147
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.570.43
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient beat Lyon 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Lyon): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.57–0.43, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lyon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lyon's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.4 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.9%PossessionLorient · Lyon● 55.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLorientLyonBaseline
Possession43.9%55.7%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsLorient 14 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsLorient 6 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.57 xG0.43 xGLorient 2.57 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 0.43 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lorient 40%, Olympique Lyonnais 60%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersLorient 1 corner, Olympique Lyonnais 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsLorient 12 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsLorient 2 cards, Olympique Lyonnais 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Clinton Mata · Lyon · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHans Hateboer · Lyon · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSambou Soumano · Lorient · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPavel Šulc · Lyon · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKarim Dermane · Lorient · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathys de Carvalho · Lyon · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAfonso Moreira · Lyon · 84′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArthur Avom Ebong · Lorient · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 79′ · 0.22 xG · on targetArsène Kouassi · Lorient · 85′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedBamo Meïté · Lorient · 36′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 39′ · 0.61 xG · goalSambou Soumano · Lorient · 16′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.49 xG. Lyon: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Pablo Pagis · Lorient · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 2.49 xG · Lyon 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
2Draws
2Olympique Lyonnais
Lorient — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Lorient · Ligue 13–3
Olympique Lyonnais — Lorient · Ligue 10–0
Lorient — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–1
Lorient — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient15 matchesOlympique Lyonnais15 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.54 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots15/1512.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.53 shots/match
43.9%Possession15/15● 55.7%
3.13 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.53 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards15/152.33 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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