Ligue 1 · 2025Stade du Moustoir

Lorient 1–1 Toulouse · Ligue 1

Lorient

LDLDL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lorient and Toulouse drew 1–1.

Shots
106
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.361.32
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lorient and Toulouse drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Toulouse): shots 10–6, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.36–1.32, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse have a visible away split

moderate

Toulouse's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lorient.

6.91 days ▲Rest daysLorient · Toulouse6.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLorientToulouseBaseline
Rest days6.91 days6.91 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsLorient 10 shots, Toulouse 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsLorient 2 shots, Toulouse 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.32 xGLorient 1.36 xG, Toulouse 1.32 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lorient 50%, Toulouse 50%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersLorient 6 corners, Toulouse 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls18 foulsLorient 6 fouls, Toulouse 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsLorient 0 cards, Toulouse 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pablo Pagis · Lorient · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDayann Methalie · Toulouse · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgor Silva · Lorient · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Victor Makengo · Lorient · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoel Mugisha Mvuka · Lorient · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Cadiou · Lorient · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSambou Soumano · Lorient · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 83′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPablo Pagis · Lorient · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEmersonn · Toulouse · 10′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 44′ · 0.82 xG · goalDjibril Sidibé · Toulouse · 65′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.38 xG. Toulouse: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pablo Pagis · Lorient · 44′Djibril Sidibé · Toulouse · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 1.38 xG · Toulouse 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lorient
2Draws
2Toulouse
Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — Lorient · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 10–1
Toulouse — Lorient · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient12 matchesToulouse12 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.48 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/123.83 shots/match
44.3% ●Possession12/1242.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.75 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards12/122.75 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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