PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FC 2–0 Lorient · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

Lorient

WLLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris FC won 2–0.

Shots
108
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.020.97
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC beat Lorient 2–0. Recorded in this match (Paris FC – Lorient): shots 10–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.02–0.97, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient have a visible away split

weak

Lorient's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lorient's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionParis FC · Lorient43.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis FCLorientBaseline
Possession55.4%43.4%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsParis FC 10 shots, Lorient 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsParis FC 2 shots, Lorient 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG0.97 xGParis FC 1.02 xG, Lorient 0.97 xG
  • Possession59%41%Paris FC 59%, Lorient 41%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersParis FC 1 corner, Lorient 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsParis FC 19 fouls, Lorient 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsParis FC 0 cards, Lorient 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOtávio · Paris FC · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Paris FC · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Paris FC · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPablo Pagis · Lorient · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoel Mugisha Mvuka · Lorient · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNhoa Sangui · Paris FC · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 30′ · 0.14 xG · goalWillem Geubbels · Paris FC · 78′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 36′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPablo Pagis · Lorient · 43′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedIlan Kebbal · Paris FC · 25′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris FC: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG. Lorient: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC · 25′Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris FC 1.03 xG · Lorient 0.75 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris FC favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris FC7 matchesLorient7 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.29 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.29 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.46 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.6 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession7/743.4%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/72.71 corners/match
1.14 cards/matchCards7/73.57 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis FCLorient
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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