Olympique de Marseille
Ligue 1 · 2025Olympique de Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Olympique de Marseille won 1–0.
- Shots
- 9–12
- Shots on target
- 2–5
- Expected goals
- 1.09–0.67
- Possession
- 32%–68%
Full time
What the match recorded
Marseille beat Paris Saint Germain 1–0. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Paris Saint Germain): shots 9–12, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.09–0.67, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Marseille | Paris Saint Germain | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 7.2 corners/match | 6.6 corners/match | 4.7 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateParis Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Marseille | Paris Saint Germain | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 55.8% | 73.4% | 49.1% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Marseille show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakMarseille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Marseille | Paris Saint Germain | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.8 shots/match | 15.6 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.6 shots/match | 8.4 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 7 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Olympique de Marseille / Paris Saint-Germain
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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