PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeParc Olympique LyonnaisFull-time recap

Lyon

WWWL
1–0Full-time recap

Angers

WLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLyonAngers
Shots16 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession67%33%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yassin Belkhdim · Angers · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAinsley Maitland-Niles · Lyon · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathys de Carvalho · Lyon · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPavel Šulc · Lyon · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMalick Fofana · Lyon · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaris Belkebla · Angers · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Lyon · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPavel Šulc · Lyon · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAinsley Maitland-Niles · Lyon · 6′ · 0.12 xG · on targetProsper Peter · Angers · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 26′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 65′ · 0.14 xG · goalLanroy Machine · Angers · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Lyon · 6′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 90′ · 0.37 xG · on targetMalick Fofana · Lyon · 83′ · 0.44 xG · on targetAinsley Maitland-Niles · Lyon · 79′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lyon: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.86 xG. Angers: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tanner Tessmann · Lyon · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lyon 1.86 xG · Angers 1.15 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Lyon's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lyon have recorded the higher season possession share.

55%▲PossessionLyon · Angers32.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLyonAngersBaseline
Possession55%32.6%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Lyon have a visible home split

weak

Lyon's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lyon show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lyon's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsLyon · Angers8.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLyonAngersBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match8.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lyon favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 1 · 4 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/58.2 shots/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/515.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53 shots/match
3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55.6 shots/match
55%Possessionseason · 5/532.6%
6.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/52.2 corners/match
5.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/57.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/5▲1.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
80%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lyon69.4
Angers2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lyon65.8
Angers12
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lyon69.4
Angers36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lyon47.2
Angers52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lyon75
Angers22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lyon75
Angers2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lyon76.4
Angers11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
55%Possession5/532.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
55%Possession5/532.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
55%Possession5/532.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.7 shots/match▲Shots3/37.67 shots/match
6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32 shots/match
59.3%Possession3/331.3%
6.67 corners/matchCorners3/32.33 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/31 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls3/38.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLyonAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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