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Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 2–1 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 2–1.

Shots
1518
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
2.441.66
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat Cercle Brugge 2–1. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – Cercle Brugge): shots 15–18, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 2.44–1.66, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

St. Truiden's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Truiden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots18 shotsSint-Truidense VV 15 shots, Cercle Brugge 18 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsSint-Truidense VV 7 shots, Cercle Brugge 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.44 xG1.66 xGSint-Truidense VV 2.44 xG, Cercle Brugge 1.66 xG
  • Possession61%39%Sint-Truidense VV 61%, Cercle Brugge 39%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersSint-Truidense VV 7 corners, Cercle Brugge 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsSint-Truidense VV 8 fouls, Cercle Brugge 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsSint-Truidense VV 0 cards, Cercle Brugge 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValy Konaté · Cercle Brugge · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 7′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 17′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 11′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Mbe Soh · St. Truiden · 60′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 88′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 13′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 55′ · 0.20 xG · on targetEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 57′ · 0.20 xG · goalKaito Matsuzawa · St. Truiden · 81′ · 0.35 xG · goalOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 66′ · 0.38 xG · on targetArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 24′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.42 xG. Cercle Brugge: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Arbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 24′Kaito Matsuzawa · St. Truiden · 81′Edan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 2.42 xG · Cercle Brugge 1.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sint-Truidense VV
3Draws
1Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League3–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV30 matchesCercle Brugge30 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.17 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.4 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.45 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots30/3013.9 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target30/304.4 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession30/3047%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners30/304.9 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards28/282.18 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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