PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 1–3 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RAAL La Louvière won 1–3.

Shots
2515
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
1.861.91
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

RAAL La Louvière beat Cercle Brugge 3–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – RAAL La Louvière): shots 25–15, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 1.86–1.91, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cercle Brugge.

7 days ▲Rest daysCercle Brugge · RAAL La Louvière8.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCercle BruggeRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Rest days7 days8.94 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cercle Brugge have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.5% ●PossessionCercle Brugge · RAAL La Louvière37.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession47.5%37.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots15 shotsCercle Brugge 25 shots, RAAL La Louvière 15 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsCercle Brugge 10 shots, RAAL La Louvière 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG1.91 xGCercle Brugge 1.86 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.91 xG
  • Possession63%37%Cercle Brugge 63%, RAAL La Louvière 37%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersCercle Brugge 5 corners, RAAL La Louvière 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsCercle Brugge 8 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsCercle Brugge 2 cards, RAAL La Louvière 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMajeed Ashimeru · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYllan Okou · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeoffrey Kondo · Cercle Brugge · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMakaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSami Lahssaini · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Soumaré · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYllan Okou · RAAL La Louvière · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMajeed Ashimeru · RAAL La Louvière · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeoffrey Kondo · Cercle Brugge · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNachon Nsingi · RAAL La Louvière · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 73′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 9′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 52′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 60′ · 0.12 xG · goalOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 69′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 46′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 76′ · 0.14 xG · goalOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 26′ · 0.15 xG · on targetSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 79′ · 0.16 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 8′ · 0.20 xG · on targetHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 70′ · 0.59 xG · goalPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 6′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 25 shots, 10 on target, 1.88 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Oluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 76′Pape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 6′Joël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 60′Pape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 1.88 xG · RAAL La Louvière 1.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cercle Brugge
0Draws
1RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge31 matchesRAAL La Louvière31 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.84 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/290.93 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots31/3110.2 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/312.94 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession31/3137.5%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners31/314.68 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards28/281.96 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required