PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière 5–5 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

5–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RAAL La Louvière and KRC Genk drew 5–5.

Shots
1814
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
1.642.75
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

RAAL La Louvière and Genk drew 5–5. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – Genk): shots 18–14, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 1.64–2.75, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.7%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · Genk● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreGenkBaseline
Possession37.7%60%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Genk have a visible away split

moderate

Genk's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots14 shotsRAAL La Louvière 18 shots, KRC Genk 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsRAAL La Louvière 8 shots, KRC Genk 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG2.75 xGRAAL La Louvière 1.64 xG, KRC Genk 2.75 xG
  • Possession45%55%RAAL La Louvière 45%, KRC Genk 55%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersRAAL La Louvière 10 corners, KRC Genk 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsRAAL La Louvière 10 fouls, KRC Genk 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardRAAL La Louvière 2 cards, KRC Genk 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Majeed Ashimeru · RAAL La Louvière · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kayembe · Genk · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 50′ · 0.06 xG · goalPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNachon Nsingi · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 6′ · 0.11 xG · goalZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYllan Okou · RAAL La Louvière · 37′ · 0.13 xG · goalDaan Heymans · Genk · 55′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTobias Lawal · RAAL La Louvière · 68′ · 0.19 xG · goalBryan Heynen · Genk · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goalJunya Ito · Genk · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goalAaron Bibout · Genk · 86′ · 0.44 xG · goalJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 43′ · 0.53 xG · goalRobin Mirisola · Genk · 15′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 19 shots, 9 on target, 1.78 xG. Genk: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yllan Okou · RAAL La Louvière · 37′Jerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 43′Tobias Lawal · RAAL La Louvière · 68′Nachon Nsingi · RAAL La Louvière · 90′Wagane Faye · RAAL La Louvière · 90′Daan Heymans · Genk · 6′Robin Mirisola · Genk · 15′Junya Ito · Genk · 45′Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 50′Aaron Bibout · Genk · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 1.78 xG · Genk 2.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
1Draws
0KRC Genk
KRC Genk — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · KRC Genk in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière32 matchesKRC Genk32 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.53 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.47 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.81 shots/match
37.7%Possession32/32● 60%
4.84 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.44 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards28/281.46 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreKRC Genk
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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