Belgian Pro League · 2025Lotto Park

RSC Anderlecht 2–3 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge won 2–3.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.431.45
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge beat Anderlecht 3–2. Recorded in this match (Anderlecht – Cercle Brugge): shots 16–14, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.43–1.45, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Anderlecht's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsRSC Anderlecht 16 shots, Cercle Brugge 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsRSC Anderlecht 8 shots, Cercle Brugge 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.45 xGRSC Anderlecht 1.43 xG, Cercle Brugge 1.45 xG
  • Possession71%29%RSC Anderlecht 71%, Cercle Brugge 29%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersRSC Anderlecht 8 corners, Cercle Brugge 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsRSC Anderlecht 14 fouls, Cercle Brugge 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRSC Anderlecht 1 card, Cercle Brugge 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKillian Sardella · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYari Verschaeren · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYari Verschaeren · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 65′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKillian Sardella · Anderlecht · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 25′ · 0.10 xG · goalNathan De Cat · Anderlecht · 24′ · 0.11 xG · on targetEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 35′ · 0.11 xG · goalPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 28′ · 0.13 xG · goalEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 10′ · 0.16 xG · goalGeoffrey Kondo · Cercle Brugge · 34′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 24′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 8′ · 0.44 xG · on targetThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Anderlecht: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.44 xG. Cercle Brugge: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 25′Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 90′Edan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 10′Pieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 28′Emmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Anderlecht 1.44 xG · Cercle Brugge 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4RSC Anderlecht
1Draws
0Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–2
RSC Anderlecht — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–0
Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–5
Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–1
RSC Anderlecht — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RSC Anderlecht favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RSC Anderlecht32 matchesCercle Brugge32 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.22 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.47 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.47 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots32/3214.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target32/324.59 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession32/3246.9%
6.28 corners/match ●Corners32/324.97 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards29/282.18 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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