PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–0 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 1–0.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.121.45
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat Anderlecht 1–0. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Anderlecht): shots 13–17, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.12–1.45, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Anderlecht's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Anderlecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Anderlecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Anderlecht15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenAnderlechtBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsKV Mechelen 13 shots, RSC Anderlecht 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsKV Mechelen 5 shots, RSC Anderlecht 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.45 xGKV Mechelen 1.12 xG, RSC Anderlecht 1.45 xG
  • Possession40%60%KV Mechelen 40%, RSC Anderlecht 60%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersKV Mechelen 5 corners, RSC Anderlecht 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls19 foulsKV Mechelen 9 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards8 cardsKV Mechelen 2 cards, RSC Anderlecht 8 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moussa Diarra · Anderlecht · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDikeni Salifou · KV Mechelen · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoncef Zekri · KV Mechelen · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Stroeykens · Anderlecht · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diarra · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 28′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMoncef Zekri · KV Mechelen · 15′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 75′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 87′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 80′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 33′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 49′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 45′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.10 xG. Anderlecht: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.10 xG · Anderlecht 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KV Mechelen
1Draws
4RSC Anderlecht
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–1
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–3
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–2
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen31 matchesRSC Anderlecht31 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.39 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.16 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.5 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 15.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.65 shots/match
49.6%Possession31/31● 53.8%
4.68 corners/matchCorners31/31● 6.23 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards29/292.83 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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