PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 1–0 Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk won 1–0.

Shots
138
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.780.34
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk beat St. Truiden 1–0. Recorded in this match (Genk – St. Truiden): shots 13–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.78–0.34, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

St. Truiden's recent record differs from the season

weak

St. Truiden's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.68 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk have a visible home split

moderate

Genk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.52 corners/matchCornersGenk · St. Truiden● 5.61 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGenkSt. TruidenBaseline
Corners5.52 corners/match5.61 corners/match4.9 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsKRC Genk 13 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotKRC Genk 4 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.34 xGKRC Genk 0.78 xG, Sint-Truidense VV 0.34 xG
  • Possession36%64%KRC Genk 36%, Sint-Truidense VV 64%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersKRC Genk 5 corners, Sint-Truidense VV 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsKRC Genk 10 fouls, Sint-Truidense VV 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsKRC Genk 2 cards, Sint-Truidense VV 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sory Bangoura · Genk · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDaan Heymans · Genk · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · Genk · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 20′ · 0.13 xG · goalJarne Steuckers · Genk · 76′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG. St. Truiden: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 0.77 xG · St. Truiden 0.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KRC Genk
3Draws
0Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
Sint-Truidense VV — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–2
KRC Genk — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League3–2
Sint-Truidense VV — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk31 matchesSint-Truidense VV31 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.71 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/3114.2 shots/match
5.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/314.42 shots/match
60.2% ●Possession31/3154.9%
5.52 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.61 corners/match
1.46 cards/matchCards28/281.79 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkSint-Truidense VV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — Sint-Truidense VV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required