PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Elindus Arena

SV Zulte Waregem 0–1 Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Standard Liège won 0–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.871.42
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Standard Liege beat Zulte Waregem 1–0. Recorded in this match (Zulte Waregem – Standard Liege): shots 19–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.87–1.42, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zulte Waregem's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zulte Waregem's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liege show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Standard Liege's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsZulte Waregem · Standard Liege9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZulte WaregemStandard LiegeBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match9.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 19 shots, Standard Liège 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 5 shots, Standard Liège 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.42 xGSV Zulte Waregem 0.87 xG, Standard Liège 1.42 xG
  • Possession49%51%SV Zulte Waregem 49%, Standard Liège 51%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 3 corners, Standard Liège 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 10 fouls, Standard Liège 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsSV Zulte Waregem 0 cards, Standard Liège 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBenoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStavros Gavriel · Zulte Waregem · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Ilaimaharitra · Standard Liege · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLukas Willen · Zulte Waregem · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJelle Vossen · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTimothé Nkada · Standard Liege · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbe Hautekiet · Standard Liege · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBernard Nguene · Standard Liege · 87′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDirk Asare · Zulte Waregem · 10′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 59′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 64′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 79′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAdnane Abid · Standard Liege · 73′ · 0.14 xG · on targetHenry Lawrence · Standard Liege · 87′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Zulte Waregem: 19 shots, 5 on target, 0.88 xG. Standard Liege: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Henry Lawrence · Standard Liege · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Zulte Waregem 0.88 xG · Standard Liege 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Zulte Waregem
2Draws
2Standard Liège
Standard Liège — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League0–0
Standard Liège — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2
SV Zulte Waregem — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League0–3
Standard Liège — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League0–1
SV Zulte Waregem — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Standard Liège in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem30 matchesStandard Liège30 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.93 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/280.98 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots30/309.5 shots/match
4.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.2 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession30/3043.9%
4.47 corners/match ●Corners30/304.23 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards28/282.36 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Zulte WaregemStandard Liège
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Zulte Waregem — Standard Liège
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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