PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Planet Group Arena

KAA Gent 2–0 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent won 2–0.

Shots
115
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.850.97
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gent beat Zulte Waregem 2–0. Recorded in this match (Gent – Zulte Waregem): shots 11–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.85–0.97, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zulte Waregem's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zulte Waregem's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsKAA Gent 11 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotKAA Gent 5 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.97 xGKAA Gent 1.85 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 0.97 xG
  • Possession51%49%KAA Gent 51%, SV Zulte Waregem 49%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersKAA Gent 2 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsKAA Gent 13 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardKAA Gent 2 cards, SV Zulte Waregem 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Max Dean · Gent · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Cisse · Gent · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichał Skóraś · Gent · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · Gent · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYannick Cappelle · Zulte Waregem · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 30′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHong Hyun-seok · Gent · 32′ · 0.15 xG · on targetWilfried Kanga · Gent · 38′ · 0.15 xG · on targetWilfried Kanga · Gent · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 38′ · 0.24 xG · goalJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 49′ · 0.82 xG · on targetWilfried Kanga · Gent · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gent: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.85 xG. Zulte Waregem: 5 shots, 1 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Max Dean · Gent · 38′Wilfried Kanga · Gent · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gent 1.85 xG · Zulte Waregem 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4KAA Gent
0Draws
1SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League4–1
SV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–6
KAA Gent — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0
KAA Gent — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–1
SV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent30 matchesSV Zulte Waregem31 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/311.29 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/311.58 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.2 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots30/3112.5 shots/match
4.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/314.1 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession30/3147.9%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners30/314.52 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards28/281.64 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKAA GentSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKAA Gent — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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