Belgian Pro League · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

WDWDW

2–0Full-time recap

FCV Dender

LLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	FCV Dender
Shots	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.79 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: 9 shots, 3 on target, 2.05 xG. FCV Dender: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.05 xG · FCV Dender 0.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · FCV Dender10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	FCV Dender	Baseline
Shots	14.9 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	7.97 shots/match	15 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.79 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise

1Draws

0FCV Dender

13 Sept 2025FCV Dender — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–1

1 Mar 2025Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1

27 Jul 2024FCV Dender — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 0 · 2 too close

1.61 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/290.79 goals/match

0.52 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/291.66 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 30/291.15 xG/match

0.79 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 30/291.54 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/2910.8 shots/match

7.97 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/2915 shots/match

5.23 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/293.83 shots/match

2.55 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/294.66 shots/match

53.8%●Possessionseason · 31/2947.3%

5.84 corners/match●Cornersseason · 31/293.66 corners/match

3.45 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/295.72 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/2911.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

52%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/2917%

84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/2959%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise79.4

FCV Dender32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise81.4

FCV Dender18.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise97.1

FCV Dender21.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise73.5

FCV Dender20.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise81.9

FCV Dender32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise85.3

FCV Dender5.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise82.3

FCV Dender20.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise31 matchesFCV Dender29 matches

1.61 goals/match▲Goals scored31/290.79 goals/match

0.52 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/291.66 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals30/291.15 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots31/2910.8 shots/match

5.23 shots/match▲Shots on target31/293.83 shots/match

53.8%●Possession31/2947.3%

5.84 corners/match●Corners31/293.66 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards28/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls31/2911.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise16 matchesFCV Dender15 matches

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored16/150.8 goals/match

0.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/151.53 goals/match

1.87 xG/match▲Expected goals16/151.08 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots16/1510.6 shots/match

6.06 shots/match▲Shots on target16/154.2 shots/match

51.2%●Possession16/1545.7%

6.31 corners/match●Corners16/153.73 corners/match

1.93 cards/matchCards14/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1511.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4