Belgian Pro League · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

LLLLD

2–2Full-time recap

RC Sporting Charleroi

WLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	RC Sporting Charleroi
Shots	15 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.1 xG/match	2.32 xG/match▲
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	5 corners/match	13 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FCV Dender: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.10 xG. RC Sporting Charleroi: 22 shots, 7 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 2.10 xG · RC Sporting Charleroi 2.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RC Sporting Charleroi's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

RC Sporting Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Sporting Charleroi's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsFCV Dender · RC Sporting Charleroi13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FCV Dender	RC Sporting Charleroi	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2FCV Dender

0Draws

3RC Sporting Charleroi

30 Aug 2025RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League3–1

26 Apr 2025RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1

22 Apr 2025FCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–1

1 Feb 2025RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League5–0

5 Oct 2024FCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 11 · 2 too close

0.82 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/30▲1.43 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/30▲1.4 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/28▲1.24 xG/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.28 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/30▲13.3 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/30▲11.9 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/30▲4.43 shots/match

4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/30▲3.83 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 28/30●49%

3.61 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/30●5.67 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/30▲4.7 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/282.18 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/3011.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/30▲23%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/30▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender26.5

RC Sporting Charleroi50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender18.6

RC Sporting Charleroi55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender17.6

RC Sporting Charleroi65.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender26.5

RC Sporting Charleroi67.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender44.1

RC Sporting Charleroi63.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender5.9

RC Sporting Charleroi79.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender23.5

RC Sporting Charleroi61.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender28 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi30 matches

0.82 goals/matchGoals scored28/30▲1.43 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed28/30▲1.4 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲1.24 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots28/30▲13.3 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on target28/30▲4.43 shots/match

47.1%Possession28/30●49%

3.61 corners/matchCorners28/30●5.67 corners/match

—Cards0/282.18 cards/match

11.2 fouls/matchFouls28/3011.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender14 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi15 matches

0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/15▲1.33 goals/match

1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲1.47 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.21 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots14/15▲13 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target14/15▲4 shots/match

48.9%Possession14/15●48.9%

3.57 corners/matchCorners14/15●5.8 corners/match

—Cards0/142.21 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1512 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.99 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples28 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4