PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 2–2 RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender and RC Sporting Charleroi drew 2–2.

Shots
1522
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
2.12.32
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender and RC Sporting Charleroi drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – RC Sporting Charleroi): shots 15–22, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 2.1–2.32, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Sporting Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Sporting Charleroi's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsFCV Dender · RC Sporting Charleroi13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFCV DenderRC Sporting CharleroiBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots22 shotsFCV Dender 15 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 22 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsFCV Dender 4 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.1 xG2.32 xGFCV Dender 2.1 xG, RC Sporting Charleroi 2.32 xG
  • Possession43%57%FCV Dender 43%, RC Sporting Charleroi 57%
  • Corners5 corners13 cornersFCV Dender 5 corners, RC Sporting Charleroi 13 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsFCV Dender 9 fouls, RC Sporting Charleroi 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui · FCV Dender · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · RC Sporting Charleroi · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJules Gaudin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · RC Sporting Charleroi · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 21′ · 0.04 xG · goalAurélien Scheidler · RC Sporting Charleroi · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPatrick Pflücke · RC Sporting Charleroi · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · RC Sporting Charleroi · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · RC Sporting Charleroi · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · RC Sporting Charleroi · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBryan Goncalves · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBo De Kerf · FCV Dender · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBo De Kerf · FCV Dender · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 78′ · 0.09 xG · goalDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · RC Sporting Charleroi · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJakob Napoleon Romsaas · RC Sporting Charleroi · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · RC Sporting Charleroi · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNoah Mbamba · FCV Dender · 80′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAurélien Scheidler · RC Sporting Charleroi · 6′ · 0.17 xG · goalDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 2′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 89′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 69′ · 0.36 xG · on targetDavid Hrnčár · FCV Dender · 80′ · 0.38 xG · on targetDavid Hrnčár · FCV Dender · 39′ · 0.40 xG · goalParfait Guiagon · RC Sporting Charleroi · 75′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FCV Dender: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.10 xG. RC Sporting Charleroi: 22 shots, 7 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Roman Kvet · FCV Dender · 21′David Hrnčár · FCV Dender · 39′Aurélien Scheidler · RC Sporting Charleroi · 6′Antoine Colassin · RC Sporting Charleroi · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 2.10 xG · RC Sporting Charleroi 2.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FCV Dender
0Draws
3RC Sporting Charleroi
RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League3–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1
FCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League5–0
FCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender28 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi30 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored28/30▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed28/30▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.24 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots28/30▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target28/30▲ 4.43 shots/match
47.1%Possession28/30● 49%
3.61 corners/matchCorners28/30● 5.67 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls28/3011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderRC Sporting Charleroi
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — RC Sporting Charleroi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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