PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 2–1.

Shots
125
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.561.16
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Genk 2–1. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – Genk): shots 12–5, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.56–1.16, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk have a visible away split

moderate

Genk's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.9 corners/match ●CornersUnion St. Gilloise · Genk5.53 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseGenkBaseline
Corners5.9 corners/match5.53 corners/match4.9 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots5 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 shots, KRC Genk 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 shots, KRC Genk 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG1.16 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.56 xG, KRC Genk 1.16 xG
  • Possession43%57%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 43%, KRC Genk 57%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 corners, KRC Genk 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 9 fouls, KRC Genk 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 cards, KRC Genk 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamiel Van de Perre · Union St. Gilloise · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 15′ · 0.10 xG · goalRobin Mirisola · Genk · 19′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 52′ · 0.14 xG · goalNikolas Sattlberger · Genk · 23′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.55 xG. Genk: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Christian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 15′Besfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 52′Daan Heymans · Genk · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 0.55 xG · Genk 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
0Draws
1KRC Genk
KRC Genk — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–2
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–0
KRC Genk — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League2–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · KRC Genk in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise29 matchesKRC Genk30 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/301.47 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/301.47 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.44 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots29/3015.6 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target29/30▲ 5.83 shots/match
54.2%Possession29/30● 61%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners29/305.53 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards28/281.46 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseKRC Genk
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — KRC Genk
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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