PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Planet Group Arena

KAA Gent 3–1 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent won 3–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.20.5
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gent beat KV Mechelen 3–1. Recorded in this match (Gent – KV Mechelen): shots 13–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.2–0.5, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsKAA Gent 13 shots, KV Mechelen 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsKAA Gent 5 shots, KV Mechelen 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG0.5 xGKAA Gent 2.2 xG, KV Mechelen 0.5 xG
  • Possession46%54%KAA Gent 46%, KV Mechelen 54%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersKAA Gent 3 corners, KV Mechelen 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls19 foulsKAA Gent 9 fouls, KV Mechelen 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsKAA Gent 2 cards, KV Mechelen 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mory Konate · KV Mechelen · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSiebe Van Der Heyden · Gent · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 69′ · 0.03 xG · goalFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichał Skóraś · Gent · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Cisse · Gent · 83′ · 0.05 xG · goalIbrahima Cisse · Gent · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichał Skóraś · Gent · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 78′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMomodou Sonko · Gent · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 25′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMichał Skóraś · Gent · 78′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMax Dean · Gent · 76′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Lopes · Gent · 45′ · 0.42 xG · goalMax Dean · Gent · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gent: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.23 xG. KV Mechelen: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Max Dean · Gent · 31′Leonardo Lopes · Gent · 45′Ibrahima Cisse · Gent · 83′Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gent 2.23 xG · KV Mechelen 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KAA Gent
2Draws
0KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League1–1
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League3–3
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–0
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–4
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent29 matchesKV Mechelen30 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/301.37 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed29/30▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.22 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/3010.3 shots/match
4.34 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.97 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession29/3050%
4.76 corners/match ●Corners29/304.67 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards28/282.29 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls29/3011.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKAA GentKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKAA Gent — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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