PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Het Kuipje

KVC Westerlo 0–2 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge won 0–2.

Shots
178
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.280.49
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge beat KVC Westerlo 2–0. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – Cercle Brugge): shots 17–8, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.28–0.49, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KVC Westerlo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KVC Westerlo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsKVC Westerlo · Cercle Brugge13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloCercle BruggeBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsKVC Westerlo 17 shots, Cercle Brugge 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsKVC Westerlo 6 shots, Cercle Brugge 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.49 xGKVC Westerlo 1.28 xG, Cercle Brugge 0.49 xG
  • Possession69%31%KVC Westerlo 69%, Cercle Brugge 31%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersKVC Westerlo 7 corners, Cercle Brugge 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsKVC Westerlo 11 fouls, Cercle Brugge 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsKVC Westerlo 0 cards, Cercle Brugge 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Flávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaf Smekens · KVC Westerlo · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmando Lapage · KVC Westerlo · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmando Lapage · KVC Westerlo · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKyan Vaesen · KVC Westerlo · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRaf Smekens · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 41′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 39′ · 0.07 xG · goalNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFernand Gouré · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · Cercle Brugge · 6′ · 0.10 xG · goalOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 89′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 70′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 54′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KVC Westerlo: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.26 xG. Cercle Brugge: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Emin Bayram · Cercle Brugge · 6′Oluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KVC Westerlo 1.26 xG · Cercle Brugge 0.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KVC Westerlo
1Draws
2Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League4–1
Cercle Brugge — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–0
KVC Westerlo — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League4–2
Cercle Brugge — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo23 matchesCercle Brugge22 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/221.23 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.47 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots23/2213.3 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/224.18 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession23/2249.2%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners23/224.77 corners/match
1.57 cards/matchCards21/212.14 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls23/2210.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKVC WesterloCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKVC Westerlo — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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