PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 1–1 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.950.4
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Genk – Cercle Brugge): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.95–0.4, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGenk · Cercle Brugge13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenkCercle BruggeBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.9% ●PossessionGenk · Cercle Brugge49%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenkCercle BruggeBaseline
Possession62.9%49%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsKRC Genk 14 shots, Cercle Brugge 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsKRC Genk 6 shots, Cercle Brugge 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.4 xGKRC Genk 0.95 xG, Cercle Brugge 0.4 xG
  • Possession56%44%KRC Genk 56%, Cercle Brugge 44%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersKRC Genk 4 corners, Cercle Brugge 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsKRC Genk 9 fouls, Cercle Brugge 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsKRC Genk 1 card, Cercle Brugge 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yira Collins Sor · Genk · 4′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMakaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAaron Bibout · Genk · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMakaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJunya Ito · Genk · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · Genk · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYira Collins Sor · Genk · 11′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDante Vanzeir · Cercle Brugge · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 17′ · 0.15 xG · goalJunya Ito · Genk · 9′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.93 xG. Cercle Brugge: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Yira Collins Sor · Genk · 17′Pieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 0.93 xG · Cercle Brugge 0.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KRC Genk
2Draws
1Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–2
KRC Genk — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–1
Cercle Brugge — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–3
Cercle Brugge — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League4–1
KRC Genk — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk23 matchesCercle Brugge23 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.42 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots23/2313.2 shots/match
5.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.09 shots/match
62.9% ●Possession23/2349%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners23/234.65 corners/match
1.41 cards/matchCards22/222.05 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkCercle Brugge
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — Cercle Brugge
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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