PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 0–4 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royal Antwerp FC won 0–4.

Shots
315
Shots on target
09
Expected goals
0.083.97
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Antwerp beat Cercle Brugge 4–0. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Antwerp): shots 3–15, shots on target 0–9, expected goals 0.08–3.97, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Antwerp.

6 days ▲Rest daysCercle Brugge · Antwerp6.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCercle BruggeAntwerpBaseline
Rest days6 days6.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Antwerp have a visible away split

moderate

Antwerp's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.92 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots15 shotsCercle Brugge 3 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots9 shotsCercle Brugge 0 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.08 xG3.97 xGCercle Brugge 0.08 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 3.97 xG
  • Possession30%70%Cercle Brugge 30%, Royal Antwerp FC 70%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersCercle Brugge 2 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsCercle Brugge 10 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCercle Brugge 1 card, Royal Antwerp FC 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Makaya Ibrahima Diaby · Cercle Brugge · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaam Foulon · Antwerp · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Babadi · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBoubakar Kouyaté · Antwerp · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerard Vandeplas · Antwerp · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThibo Somers · Antwerp · 19′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 20′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGerard Vandeplas · Antwerp · 33′ · 0.26 xG · on targetYuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 18′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 43′ · 0.32 xG · goalThibo Somers · Antwerp · 59′ · 0.74 xG · goalVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goalYuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 49′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.08 xG. Antwerp: 15 shots, 9 on target, 4.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Christopher Scott · Antwerp · 43′Vincent Janssen · Antwerp · 45′Yuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 49′Thibo Somers · Antwerp · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 0.08 xG · Antwerp 4.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cercle Brugge
2Draws
2Royal Antwerp FC
Royal Antwerp FC — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League0–0
Royal Antwerp FC — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–0
Royal Antwerp FC — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–2
Cercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge24 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC25 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored24/251.16 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.29 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2511.7 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target24/25▲ 4.28 shots/match
48.2%Possession24/25● 48.6%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners24/254.16 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards23/232.04 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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