PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Elindus Arena

SV Zulte Waregem 0–1 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 0–1.

Shots
187
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.151.66
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat Zulte Waregem 1–0. Recorded in this match (Zulte Waregem – KVC Westerlo): shots 18–7, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.15–1.66, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KVC Westerlo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KVC Westerlo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KVC Westerlo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KVC Westerlo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsZulte Waregem · KVC Westerlo15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZulte WaregemKVC WesterloBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 18 shots, KVC Westerlo 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 5 shots, KVC Westerlo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.66 xGSV Zulte Waregem 1.15 xG, KVC Westerlo 1.66 xG
  • Possession56%44%SV Zulte Waregem 56%, KVC Westerlo 44%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 6 corners, KVC Westerlo 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 8 fouls, KVC Westerlo 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSV Zulte Waregem 1 card, KVC Westerlo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStavros Gavriel · Zulte Waregem · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBenoit De Jaegere · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 1′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 68′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJelle Vossen · Zulte Waregem · 80′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 46′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 76′ · 0.19 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 55′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 9′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 18′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Zulte Waregem: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.14 xG. KVC Westerlo: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Zulte Waregem 1.14 xG · KVC Westerlo 1.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Zulte Waregem
1Draws
2KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–1
SV Zulte Waregem — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem24 matchesKVC Westerlo25 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored24/251.32 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots24/25▲ 15.5 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target24/25▲ 4.76 shots/match
47.2%Possession24/25● 50.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners24/25● 5.44 corners/match
1.65 cards/matchCards23/231.57 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Zulte WaregemKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSV Zulte Waregem — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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