PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–1 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo drew 1–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
2.411.16
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – KVC Westerlo): shots 14–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 2.41–1.16, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KVC Westerlo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KVC Westerlo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · KVC Westerlo15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenKVC WesterloBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsKV Mechelen 14 shots, KVC Westerlo 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsKV Mechelen 2 shots, KVC Westerlo 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.41 xG1.16 xGKV Mechelen 2.41 xG, KVC Westerlo 1.16 xG
  • Possession63%37%KV Mechelen 63%, KVC Westerlo 37%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersKV Mechelen 9 corners, KVC Westerlo 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsKV Mechelen 10 fouls, KVC Westerlo 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardKV Mechelen 2 cards, KVC Westerlo 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMory Konate · KV Mechelen · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTommy St Jago · KV Mechelen · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMaxim Kireev · KV Mechelen · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaxim Kireev · KV Mechelen · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Keybus · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 49′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 19′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 88′ · 0.31 xG · goalNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 16′ · 0.46 xG · goalMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 31′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 12′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 14 shots, 2 on target, 2.36 xG. KVC Westerlo: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 88′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 2.36 xG · KVC Westerlo 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KV Mechelen
2Draws
2KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KVC Westerlo — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–2
KV Mechelen — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–3
KVC Westerlo — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–1
KV Mechelen — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen24 matchesKVC Westerlo24 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.5 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.56 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 15.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4.79 shots/match
50.1%Possession24/24● 50.5%
5 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.54 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards22/221.55 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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