Belgian Pro League · 2025

SV Zulte Waregem 1–0 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem won 1–0.

Shots
127
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.150.49
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Zulte Waregem beat FCV Dender 1–0. Recorded in this match (SV Zulte Waregem – FCV Dender): shots 12–7, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.15–0.49, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

weak

FCV Dender's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 12 shots, FCV Dender 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 3 shots, FCV Dender 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.49 xGSV Zulte Waregem 1.15 xG, FCV Dender 0.49 xG
  • Possession50%50%SV Zulte Waregem 50%, FCV Dender 50%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerSV Zulte Waregem 6 corners, FCV Dender 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 11 fouls, FCV Dender 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKobe Cools · FCV Dender · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · SV Zulte Waregem · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · SV Zulte Waregem · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 16′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThomas Claes · SV Zulte Waregem · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStavros Gavriel · SV Zulte Waregem · 81′ · 0.04 xG · goalMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · SV Zulte Waregem · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · SV Zulte Waregem · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJunior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ · FCV Dender · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenoit Nyssen · SV Zulte Waregem · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · SV Zulte Waregem · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 79′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 76′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · SV Zulte Waregem · 10′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Zulte Waregem: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.13 xG. FCV Dender: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Stavros Gavriel · SV Zulte Waregem · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Zulte Waregem 1.13 xG · FCV Dender 0.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Zulte Waregem
1Draws
0FCV Dender
FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem26 matchesFCV Dender24 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/240.75 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/241.54 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.13 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2410.8 shots/match
4.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/243.83 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession26/2447%
4.27 corners/match ●Corners26/243.38 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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