Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade du Pays de Charleroi

RC Sporting Charleroi 3–4 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge won 3–4.

Shots
2811
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
2.462.34
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge beat Charleroi 4–3. Recorded in this match (Charleroi – Cercle Brugge): shots 28–11, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 2.46–2.34, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots11 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 28 shots, Cercle Brugge 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 9 shots, Cercle Brugge 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG2.34 xGRC Sporting Charleroi 2.46 xG, Cercle Brugge 2.34 xG
  • Possession73%27%RC Sporting Charleroi 73%, Cercle Brugge 27%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersRC Sporting Charleroi 6 corners, Cercle Brugge 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsRC Sporting Charleroi 12 fouls, Cercle Brugge 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRC Sporting Charleroi 2 cards, Cercle Brugge 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jules Gaudin · Charleroi · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJules Gaudin · Charleroi · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 28′ · 0.02 xG · goalParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJules Gaudin · Charleroi · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 80′ · 0.05 xG · goalOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 58′ · 0.07 xG · goalFilip Szymczak · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFilip Szymczak · Charleroi · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLewin Blum · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 38′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Colassin · Charleroi · 33′ · 0.15 xG · on targetOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 34′ · 0.16 xG · goalYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 31′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 11′ · 0.82 xG · goalAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 17′ · 0.82 xG · goalGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charleroi: 28 shots, 9 on target, 2.80 xG. Cercle Brugge: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Aurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 17′Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 58′Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 80′Gary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 11′Flávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 28′Oumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 34′Gary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charleroi 2.80 xG · Cercle Brugge 2.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Sporting Charleroi
2Draws
2Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–3
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Sporting Charleroi favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Sporting Charleroi25 matchesCercle Brugge25 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.28 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.52 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots25/2512.7 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.04 shots/match
48% ●Possession25/2547.3%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners25/254.48 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards24/242.13 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Feb 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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