Belgian Pro League · 2025Elindus Arena

SV Zulte Waregem 2–1 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem won 2–1.

Shots
227
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
2.070.48
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zulte Waregem beat Genk 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zulte Waregem – Genk): shots 22–7, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 2.07–0.48, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsZulte Waregem · Genk16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZulte WaregemGenkBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match16.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.6%PossessionZulte Waregem · Genk● 63.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZulte WaregemGenkBaseline
Possession47.6%63.2%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Genk have a visible away split

moderate

Genk's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match16.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 22 shots, KRC Genk 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 10 shots, KRC Genk 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.48 xGSV Zulte Waregem 2.07 xG, KRC Genk 0.48 xG
  • Possession39%61%SV Zulte Waregem 39%, KRC Genk 61%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 4 corners, KRC Genk 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 9 fouls, KRC Genk 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSV Zulte Waregem 2 cards, KRC Genk 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Benoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · Genk · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEnrique Lofolomo · Zulte Waregem · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLukas Willen · Zulte Waregem · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · Genk · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAaron Bibout · Genk · 74′ · 0.08 xG · goalMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWilguens Paugain · Zulte Waregem · 86′ · 0.12 xG · goalKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEnrique Lofolomo · Zulte Waregem · 48′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 41′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 41′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 76′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Zulte Waregem: 22 shots, 10 on target, 2.11 xG. Genk: 7 shots, 5 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 76′Wilguens Paugain · Zulte Waregem · 86′Aaron Bibout · Genk · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Zulte Waregem 2.11 xG · Genk 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Zulte Waregem
0Draws
5KRC Genk
KRC Genk — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–2
KRC Genk — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–0
SV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–4
KRC Genk — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0
SV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–6

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · KRC Genk in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem22 matchesKRC Genk22 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.36 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.55 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.4 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 16.6 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.91 shots/match
47.6%Possession22/22● 63.2%
4.23 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards21/211.43 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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