PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Club Brugge KV 4–3 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 4–3.

Shots
175
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.511.36
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat Zulte Waregem 4–3. Recorded in this match (Club Brugge KV – Zulte Waregem): shots 17–5, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.51–1.36, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Club Brugge KV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Club Brugge KV's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.04 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsClub Brugge KV · Zulte Waregem11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVZulte WaregemBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match14 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5% ●PossessionClub Brugge KV · Zulte Waregem46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVZulte WaregemBaseline
Possession62.5%46.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsClub Brugge KV 17 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsClub Brugge KV 7 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.51 xG1.36 xGClub Brugge KV 2.51 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 1.36 xG
  • Possession72%28%Club Brugge KV 72%, SV Zulte Waregem 28%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersClub Brugge KV 7 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsClub Brugge KV 11 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsClub Brugge KV 3 cards, SV Zulte Waregem 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 38′ · 0.03 xG · goalCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Traore · Zulte Waregem · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 33′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 6′ · 0.11 xG · goalRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 22′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 15′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRaphael Onyedika · Club Brugge KV · 70′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 80′ · 0.24 xG · goalBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 46′ · 0.38 xG · goalAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 60′ · 0.40 xG · goalNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 78′ · 0.49 xG · goalAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 40′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Club Brugge KV: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.54 xG. Zulte Waregem: 5 shots, 4 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 6′Brandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 46′Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 60′Nicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 78′Marley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 38′Anosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 40′Joseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Club Brugge KV 2.54 xG · Zulte Waregem 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Club Brugge KV
1Draws
0SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League0–1
SV Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–2
Club Brugge KV — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1
Club Brugge KV — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League3–0
SV Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Club Brugge KV favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Club Brugge KV24 matchesSV Zulte Waregem23 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/231.43 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/231.57 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.14 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots24/2311.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/234.13 shots/match
62.5% ●Possession24/2346.8%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners24/234.04 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCards22/221.68 cards/match
9.38 fouls/matchFouls24/2311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsClub Brugge KVSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headClub Brugge KV — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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