UEFA Champions League · 2025Astana Arena

Kairat Almaty 1–4 Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 1–4.

Shots
817
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.252.23
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat Kairat Almaty 4–1. Recorded in this match (Kairat Almaty – Club Brugge KV): shots 8–17, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.25–2.23, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Club Brugge KV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Club Brugge KV's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.27 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV have a visible away split

moderate

Club Brugge KV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.83 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.83 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsKairat Almaty · Club Brugge KV15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKairat AlmatyClub Brugge KVBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsKairat Almaty 8 shots, Club Brugge KV 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsKairat Almaty 2 shots, Club Brugge KV 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG2.23 xGKairat Almaty 0.25 xG, Club Brugge KV 2.23 xG
  • Possession47%53%Kairat Almaty 47%, Club Brugge KV 53%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersKairat Almaty 1 corner, Club Brugge KV 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsKairat Almaty 9 fouls, Club Brugge KV 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRicardinho · Kairat Almaty · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMansur Birkurmanov · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdilet Sadybekov · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalEdmilson · Kairat Almaty · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDan Glazer · Kairat Almaty · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMansur Birkurmanov · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 1′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMukhamedali Abish · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 32′ · 0.08 xG · goalRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 56′ · 0.16 xG · on targetCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 65′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 38′ · 0.28 xG · goalBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 84′ · 0.36 xG · goalRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 74′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kairat Almaty: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.26 xG. Club Brugge KV: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Adilet Sadybekov · Kairat Almaty · 90′Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 32′Hans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 38′Romeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 74′Brandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kairat Almaty 0.26 xG · Club Brugge KV 2.27 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kairat Almaty favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Club Brugge KV in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kairat Almaty15 matchesClub Brugge KV11 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored15/11▲ 2.27 goals/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/111.82 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.5 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots10/11▲ 15.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲ 6.45 shots/match
41.5%Possession10/11● 49.7%
3 corners/matchCorners10/11● 4.36 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/118.55 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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