PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière 1–2 Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 1–2.

Shots
615
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.590.94
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – St. Truiden): shots 6–15, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.59–0.94, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

St. Truiden have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.6%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · St. Truiden● 53.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreSt. TruidenBaseline
Possession36.6%53.5%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

RAAL La Louvière show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RAAL La Louvière's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRAAL La Louvière · St. Truiden14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreSt. TruidenBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsRAAL La Louvière 6 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsRAAL La Louvière 1 shot, Sint-Truidense VV 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG0.94 xGRAAL La Louvière 0.59 xG, Sint-Truidense VV 0.94 xG
  • Possession40%60%RAAL La Louvière 40%, Sint-Truidense VV 60%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersRAAL La Louvière 6 corners, Sint-Truidense VV 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsRAAL La Louvière 10 fouls, Sint-Truidense VV 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRAAL La Louvière 2 cards, Sint-Truidense VV 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 26′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedShogo Taniguchi · St. Truiden · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Merlen · St. Truiden · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Merlen · St. Truiden · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedShogo Taniguchi · St. Truiden · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDarío Benavides · RAAL La Louvière · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 14′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 37′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 59′ · 0.15 xG · goalJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 21′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 89′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.60 xG. St. Truiden: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 59′Shogo Taniguchi · St. Truiden · 63′Oumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 0.60 xG · St. Truiden 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
0Draws
1Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière24 matchesSint-Truidense VV23 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored24/23▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed24/23▲ 1.04 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.78 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 14.4 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target24/23▲ 4.48 shots/match
36.6%Possession24/23● 53.5%
4.71 corners/matchCorners24/23● 5.17 corners/match
1.82 cards/matchCards22/221.91 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreSint-Truidense VV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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