PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière 1–1 KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RAAL La Louvière and KAA Gent drew 1–1.

Shots
68
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.470.88
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

RAAL La Louvière and Gent drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – Gent): shots 6–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.47–0.88, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gent's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gent's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gent have a visible away split

moderate

Gent's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Gent have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.8%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · Gent● 51.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreGentBaseline
Possession36.8%51.9%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsRAAL La Louvière 6 shots, KAA Gent 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsRAAL La Louvière 2 shots, KAA Gent 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG0.88 xGRAAL La Louvière 0.47 xG, KAA Gent 0.88 xG
  • Possession43%57%RAAL La Louvière 43%, KAA Gent 57%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersRAAL La Louvière 6 corners, KAA Gent 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsRAAL La Louvière 13 fouls, KAA Gent 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cardsRAAL La Louvière 0 cards, KAA Gent 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wilfried Kanga · Gent · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMichał Skóraś · Gent · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTiago Araújo · Gent · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 81′ · 0.04 xG · goalJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · Gent · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAtsuki Ito · Gent · 13′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · Gent · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 33′ · 0.14 xG · on targetWilfried Kanga · Gent · 44′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHong Hyun-seok · Gent · 56′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG. Gent: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Nolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 81′Hong Hyun-seok · Gent · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 0.46 xG · Gent 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
0Draws
1KAA Gent
KAA Gent — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière25 matchesKAA Gent24 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored25/24▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/241.33 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.43 xG/match
9.92 shots/matchShots25/24▲ 13.5 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target25/24▲ 4.5 shots/match
36.8%Possession25/24● 51.9%
4.76 corners/match ●Corners25/244.71 corners/match
1.74 cards/matchCards23/231.74 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreKAA Gent
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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