PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 2–0.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.671.93
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat St. Truiden 2–0. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – St. Truiden): shots 18–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.67–1.93, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.54 corners/matchCornersUnion St. Gilloise · St. Truiden● 5.62 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. TruidenBaseline
Corners5.54 corners/match5.62 corners/match4.46 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

St. Truiden's recent record differs from the season

weak

St. Truiden's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Union St. Gilloise have a visible home split

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 18 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 6 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG1.93 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.67 xG, Sint-Truidense VV 1.93 xG
  • Possession46%54%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 46%, Sint-Truidense VV 54%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 corners, Sint-Truidense VV 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 7 fouls, Sint-Truidense VV 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 card, Sint-Truidense VV 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Union St. Gilloise · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamiel Van de Perre · Union St. Gilloise · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSimen Juklerød · St. Truiden · 83′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 64′ · 0.11 xG · goalAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 5′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Union St. Gilloise · 33′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 63′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKaito Matsuzawa · St. Truiden · 72′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 58′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 54′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 83′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.68 xG. St. Truiden: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 64′Kevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 1.68 xG · St. Truiden 1.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1Draws
0Sint-Truidense VV
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–4
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise13 matchesSint-Truidense VV13 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.46 goals/match
0.46 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.23 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.66 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots13/1314.5 shots/match
5.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134.23 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession13/1352.3%
5.54 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.62 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards12/121.58 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseSint-Truidense VV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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