PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 1–0 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 1–0.

Shots
225
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.50.28
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat Antwerp 1–0. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – Antwerp): shots 22–5, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.5–0.28, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Antwerp's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Antwerp's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St. Truiden show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

St. Truiden's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsSt. Truiden · Antwerp11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenAntwerpBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Antwerp have a visible away split

moderate

Antwerp's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots5 shotsSint-Truidense VV 22 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotSint-Truidense VV 9 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.5 xG0.28 xGSint-Truidense VV 2.5 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 0.28 xG
  • Possession71%29%Sint-Truidense VV 71%, Royal Antwerp FC 29%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersSint-Truidense VV 6 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsSint-Truidense VV 12 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsSint-Truidense VV 3 cards, Royal Antwerp FC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 16′ · 0.02 xG · goalIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauricio Benitez · Antwerp · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 39′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSimen Juklerød · St. Truiden · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 26′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 40′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 47′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.35 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 68′ · 0.36 xG · on targetRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 57′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 22 shots, 9 on target, 2.52 xG. Antwerp: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ryotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 2.52 xG · Antwerp 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sint-Truidense VV
2Draws
3Royal Antwerp FC
Sint-Truidense VV — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royal Antwerp FC — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League6–1
Royal Antwerp FC — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League3–0
Sint-Truidense VV — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV14 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC13 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/130.77 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131.15 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.03 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots14/1311.2 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/133.85 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession14/1348.6%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners14/133.77 corners/match
1.69 cards/matchCards13/132.38 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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