Belgian Pro League · 2025Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière 2–1 Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RAAL La Louvière won 2–1.

Shots
814
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.831.82
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

RAAL La Louvière beat Cercle Brugge 2–1. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – Cercle Brugge): shots 8–14, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.83–1.82, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cercle Brugge's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Cercle Brugge have recorded the higher season possession share.

33.4%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · Cercle Brugge● 49.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreCercle BruggeBaseline
Possession33.4%49.8%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsRAAL La Louvière 8 shots, Cercle Brugge 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsRAAL La Louvière 3 shots, Cercle Brugge 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.82 xGRAAL La Louvière 0.83 xG, Cercle Brugge 1.82 xG
  • Possession30%70%RAAL La Louvière 30%, Cercle Brugge 70%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersRAAL La Louvière 1 corner, Cercle Brugge 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsRAAL La Louvière 10 fouls, Cercle Brugge 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardRAAL La Louvière 3 cards, Cercle Brugge 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Flávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOwen Maes · RAAL La Louvière · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 24′ · 0.07 xG · goalJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 27′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 73′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.19 xG · goalOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 29′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMaxime Pau · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.38 xG · goalSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 37′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.82 xG. Cercle Brugge: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Thierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 24′Maxime Pau · RAAL La Louvière · 90′Emmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 0.82 xG · Cercle Brugge 1.84 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Cercle Brugge in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière14 matchesCercle Brugge14 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.66 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.9 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.21 shots/match
33.4%Possession14/14● 49.8%
4 corners/matchCorners14/144 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards13/131.85 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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